Friday 27 March 2015

The Cup Chronicles - Epilogue

India have been knocked out of the 2015 world cup, and that means it's time to wrap up The Cup Chronicles with some last words, which will seek to analyse India's performance in the world cup, including the reasons behind their loss, for even though they played extremely well throughout the tournament, and deserve to have their fans be proud of them, it is important to look at the holes in Indian cricket so that they can be plugged in the future.

India's loss in the semi-final was not to Australia, but to their inner demons. As I said in my last post, India were not playing against this Australian team, but what it represented - an all-powerful enemy that had pummelled them left, right, and centre for the last 15 years, and even before that. India's fear of 'The Mighty Aussies' has surfaced on many occasions in recent years, especially while playing in Australia.

In terms of actual might, Australia had only three players that should've worried India - Steve Smith, Glenn Maxwell, and Mitchell Starc. Even Mitchell Johnson, one of the best fast bowlers in the world, had not managed to get under India's skin in the test series. The Australian batting line-up had actually counted more on cameos of various kinds than consistency throughout the world cup.

It has to be said that Australia were not a team to really fear going into this match, which was proven by how the Indian bowlers came back in the last 15 overs, bringing down the target from a potential 400 to 329, and then again by Shikhar Dhawan, who played fearlessly until the game got to a point where Australia did not know where their first wicket would come from.

But there are moments that turn the course of history, and more often than not, they're not decided by luck. Dhawan's soft dismissal was that moment, for it turned the game on its head. It may have been a rush of blood to the head, or a case of cockiness, but it made Australia sense weakness, and they did what they do best - apply pressure. The rest is history.

Or is it? The man who walked in next had been touted by many as Sachin Tendulkar's replacement in the Indian team. A man who relishes pressure, thrives under lights, is a master of the chase, and has been recognised as one of the modern greats. He is also the man who disappointed his team when it needed him the most. Apart from one century against Pakistan (which was probably his worst hundred), he did not cross the 50 run mark even once in 7 innings.

Yes, I understand that players are allowed to fail sometimes, and I'm hardly part of the frenzied mob that attacks cricketers' houses and burn their effigies. I acknowledge that he is still the best batsman we have today, and I still love to watch him bat. But there are cricketers and there are cricket legends. The latter step up to the mark when they're needed the most. Only Virat Kohli can decide which one he wants to be, for even the gentleman's game is cutthroat, and failure in the sport's biggest tournament is simply not an option for those who want to be in the company of legends.

Moving on to the positives of India's world cup campaign, their brilliant run in the group stage and their victory in the quarter-final can be attributed to their bowling more than anything else. They took 70 wickets in 7 matches, a feat that one would normally not associate with team India, which is known more for its batting prowess.

Experts have just not been able to find a reason for this sudden, apparently miraculous turn of events, as Indian bowlers had been getting pummelled not only on the entire tour of Australia, but generally against all decent teams at home and overseas for the last two years. The reason, as I see it, is not all that miraculous.

The Indian team, on an average, plays 9 tests and 25 ODIs a year. That is 70 days of international cricket. Including T20 cricket, that number goes up to almost 90. That is more cricket than any other international team plays. Moreover, unlike other teams, which generally employ a rotation policy for its players, especially the fast bowlers, only around 12 to 15 players play for India throughout the year in all formats.

Even more revealing are the following numbers. India played 8 days of cricket in the world cup, spread over 38 days. But in the test series against Australia, they played 19 days of cricket within a month. These numbers point to one thing - Indian players are being worked to the bone. They do not get adequate time to rest and recuperate, and are expected to play large, strenuous amounts of cricket throughout the year.

When a team has this kind of schedule, something rather funny happens. The world cup, which is the biggest tournament in the sport, is actually the least taxing on the players' bodies, because it offers ample breaks in between matches for rest. This helps fast bowlers more than anyone else, and the results are quite clear. The Indian pacers have performed admirably in the world cup because they're getting enough time off the field.

There are those who say that professional sportspersons at the international level needing rest is a bit of an oxymoron, but it is not just a question of physical rest. The primary reason for certain repeated failures of the Indian team in the last few years, especially its fast bowlers, is that they simply do not get the time to address the problems in their game.

While many like to take the bull-headed approach and say that the best way to learn is in a match, this is absolutely ridiculous. In a sport that is so complex and difficult, players need time off to work out the kinks in their game and really play to their potential. This is why almost all other teams in the world have a policy of wrapping their fast bowlers up in cotton wool and taking good care of them.

India is a country of 1.2 billion. For a large part of that population, cricket is a religion. Even the less fanatic have to admit that India is effectively a one sport nation. It is about time that we begin to ask why we are perennial underdogs while playing the team of a nation with a population that is approximately equal to that of our largest city, and in fact, a nation where cricket isn't even the number one sport.

India has enough cricketing talent, but the finishing touches on honing and looking after this talent are missing, because the body that is supposed to do that is too busy filling its already overflowing coffers. There needs to be a change if India wants to take its rightful place as a cricketing superpower.

Monday 23 March 2015

The Cup Chronicles - The Top Four

We're almost getting to the end of the 2015 world cup, and the best has indeed been saved for the last. It is a rare thing for the top four ranked teams to make it to the semi-finals without any hiccups, which goes to show that when you're playing Down Under, there is no substitute for quality. The eyes of the cricketing world will be on Eden Park and the Sydney Cricket Ground come the 24th and 26th of March, and this is how the semi-finals are shaping up.

New Zealand vs South Africa, Auckland - Superman vs Men In Black:




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One of these two teams will finally end the long wait and make it to a world cup final. The Black Caps have been unbeaten so far, but haven't looked invincible. They managed the narrowest of victories against Australia, and their comprehensive victory against the West Indies highlighted some of the weaknesses in their bowling, but they're playing at home, which is a priceless asset.

The Proteas, the perennial chokers, managed to turn the most evenly matched quarter-final into the most one-sided one with a brilliant bowling performance from Imran Tahir, supported well by J.P Duminy and the fast bowlers. However, the performance of spinners is not something they will be able to count on in the semi-final, as Eden Park's dimensions will make them liable to concede many boundaries.

But, luckily for the Proteas, they have one of the best pace attacks in the world. The swing and ferocity of Dale Steyn and the bounce and pace of Morne Morkel could make life very tough for the Kiwis. The likes of McCullum, Guptill, and Williamson will be tested.

The toss, as it has been throughout this world cup, will be the key. In fact, it would be a very good toss to lose, as batting first in New Zealand has not worked out so well for teams in this tournament. But since this is a big knockout game, I don't think either captain will look to bowl first after winning the toss. The Kiwis especially, will gain confidence from their batting performance against West Indies, and won't hesitate to bat first.

It is here that South Africa's opportunity lies. Their speedsters need to take full advantage of the new ball. AB de Villiers needs to go in with a test match mindset, because not taking wickets early on means carnage in the last 15 overs in this world cup, especially on the small grounds of New Zealand.

New Zealand just need to keep doing what they're doing, as they have a golden opportunity to make it to the final after getting knocked out in the semis on six occasions. They have the upper hand going into this game.

Australia vs India, Sydney - Best vs Best:


 
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This is the big one. The top two ranked teams will fight it out for a spot in the final, where both of them will be overwhelming favourites regardless of who they face. In other words, this is the final before the final.

Expert opinions of this match, as usual, have been extremely myopic. While India's supreme form in the world cup so far is a good thing, it doesn't automatically make this an even contest. Nor does the success Australia have had against India in the last few months make them the favourites.

It must be kept in mind that in the tri-series before the world cup, India's embarrassing losses were to England and not Australia. They gave Australia a tough fight in one of the matches, and the other was washed out, which means that as far as ODI cricket is concerned, Australia did not inflict any major 'mental scars' on India on this tour.

But that does not mean that India do not have an inherent weakness against Australia. The head to head record reads 40-67, and in Australia, it becomes 10-30. More important than any of these numbers is something that cannot be measured, which is the fear of playing Australia in their own backyard.

While the toss will tilt the balance towards the team batting first, technicalities do not matter that much in this match. If India forget the fact that they're playing 'the mighty Aussies,' they are the favourites, because they have looked the strongest in the world cup so far. The likes of Raina, R Sharma, and Dhawan, who are susceptible to pressure, need to just look at it as another match and raise their bats.

This is India's greatest test, possibly even bigger than the 2011 world cup final. If they win, it will be a moment of history, for it could change Indian cricket radically.

Let the battle of the best begin.

Monday 16 March 2015

The Cup Chronicles - The Knockouts Are Here!

28 days and 42 matches later, eight teams stand tall, some more than others. This is where the ultimate test begins. Who can hold their nerves for hundred overs, in a game with countless variables, that is played in the mind as much as it is on the field? Let's find out.

South Africa vs Sri Lanka, Sydney - A, B, K, S is the new alphabet:


 

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The most evenly matched clash of the quarter-finals. There is very little separating these two teams based on their performance in the tournament, or even their overall head to head record, which is 29-28 in favour of Sri Lanka. Both teams had stuttering starts to their cup campaigns, then looked in supreme form, then suffered a loss each, and finally finished the group stage on a high.

This could very well be a clash of superman AB de Villiers and super centurion Kumara Sangakkara, but as we saw in South Africa's game against Pakistan and Sri Lanka's encounter with hosts Australia, even brilliant performances by these two superstars cannot win games if the rest of the team doesn't perform. 

While Sri Lanka losing to the mighty Aussies was an expected result, South Africa's defeat at the hands of a struggling Pakistan team was a shocker, showing once again, how vulnerable the Proteas are while chasing in big tournaments. The fact that their record in world cup knockout games reads 0/5 since they first played the tournament in 1992 shows that there is a very good reason why the 'chokers' tag has been attached to them for so long.

If I have to pick one of these two teams, I'd say that Sri Lanka have the upper hand, because of their ability to handle pressure in big matches, even while chasing totals (their record in world cup knockout games - 6/9). South Africa, on the other hand, only have a real shot if they bat first and score in excess of 300.

India vs Bangladesh, Melbourne - Tigers vs Cubs:



 
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Indian fans could not have asked for a better opposition in the quarter-finals, for an Asian team that has never played a world cup knockout game, and is still not considered to be at par with the major teams, is the perfect team for India to face in a knockout match.

But remember, remember, when India got dismembered by Bangladesh in the 2007 world cup. Also keep in mind that Zimbabwe made India fight hard for a win in their last group stage game, which just goes to show that in the conditions one finds outside Asia, India cannot afford to take any team lightly. Bangladesh have a good pace attack, and spinners that specialise in stifling batsmen until they make mistakes.

The toss will be very crucial, as India have looked commanding while batting first, and the only two times that Bangladesh gave major teams a tough fight were when they batted first. If however, India bowl first, they need to make sure that they restrict Bangladesh to under 250 runs, for chasing is not easy at the MCG.

India need to play well in this match, but they're still overwhelming favourites to win it.

Australia vs Pakistan, Adelaide - A Starc difference:


 

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This match is being labelled 'the clash of the left arm pacers,' with as many as six of them likely to play. But it will be more a game of the toss, as Pakistan have absolutely no chance of chasing anything over 250 against Australia. While it may be argued that Pakistan could bowl Australia out for a small total like New Zealand did, this is unlikely on a flat Adelaide pitch. It must also be kept in mind that New Zealand won that match by the skin of their teeth.

If Pakistan have any chance in this match, it lies in the best kept secret of this world cup - the weakness in the Australian batting line-up. Australia bat deep, and boast of incredible talents like Warner, Smith, and Clarke, but a team in which Glenn Maxwell is the most consistent performer has something to worry about when they face a good bowling attack.

None of the other Australian batsmen have displayed the kind of consistency that one would expect from a side that is the favourite to win the world cup. The Aussies have counted more on quick-fire cameos, especially at the end of an innings, and they can be in for quite a test when they face the likes of Irfan, Riaz, Sohail Khan, and Afridi.

Having said all this, Australia are the clear favourites to win this match. 

New Zealand vs West Indies, Wellington - A Boult of lightning, a gust of Windies:



 

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This match may very well see the biggest margin of victory among the quarter-finals. Barring the last game against Bangladesh, the Kiwis have demolished the weaker teams while playing at home, while the Windies' so called 'unpredictability' generally means huge wins against weak teams and equally huge losses against strong teams.

Honestly, I don't see any way for the West Indies to win this match. Only a once in a blue moon coming together of good performances with both bat and ball could make them a threat to the Kiwis. Batting first has been risky in New Zealand in the tournament so far, especially against New Zealand. On the other hand, there is no way that West Indies can handle the pressure of chasing a big total in a knockout game. Their only hope is to bowl first and knock New Zealand over for around 150, and then keep their heads.

That is a huge ask, so I say that this will be a fairly easy victory for New Zealand.

Wednesday 4 March 2015

The Cup Chronicles - India vs West Indies



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The second week of the world cup saw a 'super weekend', in which several key clashes took place. While UAE's demolition at the hands of team India and the Proteas thrashing the Windies were results that were expected, we also had the clash of the hosts, New Zealand and Australia, which turned out to be one of the greatest world cup matches of all time.

The second super weekend will also see some important matches, including India taking on West Indies at the WACA in Perth. While West Indies do not pose a serious threat to an Indian team that is brimming with confidence, the men in blue cannot afford to take this fixture lightly, as a comprehensive victory will help them keep the momentum, whereas a narrow one would dent their confidence somewhat, and as we all know, India have always been extremely susceptible to the slightest changes in the wind.

Like most games in this world cup so far, this one will depend a lot on the toss. If India bowl first, they're quite likely to win by a big margin, but batting first at the WACA could be tricky against the pace of the West Indian attack. However, India can count on their bowling, which has been excellent in their last two matches. Ashwin and Shami are peaking at the right time, and they have been supported very well by the rest of the attack.

Chris Gayle became the first non-Indian double centurion, and also the first in world cup history in the match against Zimbabwe, but as expected, failed to make an impact against South Africa. While the odds of a Gaylestorm hitting a bowler friendly ground like the WACA, especially when he's likely to be up against against two bowlers (Ashwin and Bhuvneshwar Kumar) who have his number even in batsman friendly conditions of the subcontinent is unlikely, India need to give him his due attention.

The bite of the West Indian batting line up actually comes pretty late, as Darren Sammy and Andre Russell, who bat at 7 and 8 respectively, are probably their most consistent and dangerous batsmen. India need to ensure that they do not leak too many runs to these two, as conceding runs to the lower order has been one of the biggest worries for India in the past. While batting, Kohli and Rahane will be the key men, as they're the most adept at playing fast bowlers in the Indian team.

If India want a comprehensive victory, they need to attack with the ball and look for wickets, as 50 overs can be a long time to survive at the WACA for a team like West Indies. With the bat, India need to be patient against the new ball and capitalise later in the innings. If they bowl first, they should look to restrict West Indies to less than 200, and if they bat first, they should stick with the formula of trying to get a score of around 300.

Second week round-up -

Things are certainly heating up Down Under, as the world cup is getting to the business end. There are three major talking points of the second week. First, the Proteas have seen a glorious revival after their initial stutter against Zimbabwe and a humiliating loss against India. They've scored in excess of 400 in two consecutive matches, once courtesy a blitzkrieg by AB de Villiers, and then a career best knock by Hashim Amla. Their bowlers have been excellent as well. However, there still remains a question mark over their ability to chase.

Second, New Zealand managed to beat co-hosts Australia by the skin of their teeth, despite a breathtaking bowling performance by Mitchell Starc, who looks like he has replaced Johnson as the spearhead of the attack. The Kiwis are now certain to finish at the top of Pool A, which would all but guarantee a spot in the semi-finals. Australia on the other hand, were very unlucky to be deprived of a point when their match against Bangladesh was washed out, highlighting once again, the pig-headedness of the ICC.

Sri Lanka have also seen a revival after their narrow win against Afghanistan, as they beat both Bangladesh and England very comprehensively to emerge as serious contenders in the tournament. With their best players peaking at the right time, they could finish second in Pool A if they beat Australia this Sunday, which would almost ensure a semi-final spot for them. It would put Australia in a spot of bother though, because finishing third in the group would mean that the Aussies would face South Africa in the quarter-finals, and then the Kiwis in New Zealand in the semis should they make it.

Keep watching the world cup and keep reading The Cup Chronicles!